Des cumuls pluviométriques moyens à excédentaires sont attendus sur la période Mars-Avril-Mai (MAM) sur la majeure partie de la zone Sud des pays du Golfe de Guinée, excepté dans certaines localités de l’extrême-Sud, de l’Ouest et du Centre du Nigéria, de l’Est de la Côte d’Ivoire, et du Centre et Sud du Ghana où les cumuls seraient plutôt normaux à déficitaires.
Monitoring of river basins, dam water levels, flow forecasts.
Support for irrigation development, advice for irrigators.
Drought diagnosis, flood monitoring, flood forecasting.
Analysis and diagnosis of agronomic and hydrological droughts, forecasting of intra-annual dry spells and dry years, groundwater monitoring, flood and flood risk monitoring, flood forecasting, etc.
Prevention, reduction, and management of disaster risks (droughts, floods, food and nutrition crises, etc.); identification and monitoring of vulnerable and/or affected persons, etc.
Seasonal forecasts are produced:
Seasonal forecasts provide the following information:
At the end of their work, experts also announce the possible implications of the season's forecasts and make recommendations.
To mitigate the effects of climate change, it is necessary to:
To access a training program at the AGRHYMET Center, the prospective student must:
Seasonal forecasts are based on, among other things, the analysis of the current situation and probable developments of Sea Surface Temperatures (SST), forecasts from global climate centers, statistical analyses of data from National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs), and expert knowledge of the climate characteristics in West Africa and the Sahel.